I Predict the 2016 Presidential Election!

The winner of the 2016 Presidential Election will be…

  • blamed for things they had no part of, directly or indirectly.
  • compared to the previous president of the opposite party. As if the same things, exact to the detail, occurred every four years… much less, ever. “When ______ was president, we didn’t have (a situation different in myriad aspects from any that anyone ever faced before)!”
  • reviled by about half the citizens as the source of all problems.
  • hailed by about half the citizens as the solution to all problems.
  • an object of hate for many people—an excuse to vent the darkness that is in the individual person.
  • an object of worship for many people—an excuse to vent the fear and guilt that drive the desperate need to worship in the individual person.
  • affect no (zero) lasting change on the economy of the country or its individual citizens.
  • affect no (zero) change on the course of the country.
  • publicly blamed by other branches of government, and by other public figures who work to be followed and worshipped, for the lack of solutions or change wrought by the government.
  • soon publicly shaking his or her head and blaming the other branches of government for the lack of solutions or change wrought by the government.
  • reelected to a second term amid great outcry by the people who did not vote for him or her the first time.
  • worn down and aged by the strain of the schedule and scrutiny of the job. They will run for a second term out of obligation and pride, but they will secretly look forward to being done with the job.

Furthermore, many people—mostly pundits—will pretend to believe that the new president is directly responsible for all the good or bad (one or the other, never both) that happens to the country; even the imaginary good/bad. Many people—even otherwise sane ones—will actually believe that the new president is responsible for all the good or bad that happens to the country.

There you have it! The winner of the 2016 Presidential Election. Sorry for spoiling it.

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Overdue for a revolution in cars

We are long, long past due for a revolution in cars.

Fortunately, we have Tesla, which is a true revolution.

I have written about this before - here, here, and here:

  • A new grill design does not make a car “all new” or “revolutionary”.
  • LED lights do not make a car “all new” or “revolutionary”.
  • More buttons and distractions inside do not make a car “all new” or “revolutionary”.

I would argue that the opposite is true.

In case you don’t believe me, here are some other people who might know what they’re talking about:

  • “Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication.” – Leonardo da Vinci
  • “We ascribe beauty to that which is simple.” – Ralph Waldo Emerson
  • “Simplicity is the most difficult thing to secure in this world; it is the last limit of experience and the last effort of genius.” – George Sand
  • “Complexity grows incrementally. Regaining simplicity requires a revolution.” – Conal Elliott
  • Simplicity and elegance are unpopular because they require hard work and discipline to achieve and education to be appreciated.” – Edsger Dijkstra
  • “I strive for two things in design: simplicity and clarity. Great design is born of those two things. I think that’s what we all want from design, and from business, from our work, even from our friendships.” – Lindon Leader
  • “The goal of design is greater simplicity.” – (anon. John Gruber?)

Car makers, please stop playing a marketing game. Or you will be left behind.

Like you already have been by Tesla.

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Drinking From A Firehose

We are past the tipping point of noise and volume.

Even if you keep your face buried in a screen at all times, you cannot keep up with the “noise”. Not even the most connected (or tuned-out, whichever term you prefer) teen can keep up with the deluge of information. The internet is no longer a place you can go to get information. It is no longer a passive thing. The internet now, or specifically services that run on it, “pushes” and feeds” and “notifies” us with constant information.

Also, it seems to me that we have reached the tipping point for volume of movies. It has become clear this year what was hinted at in recent years: there are so many movies that we simply cannot keep up. You and I remember when there were a handful of huge movies a year and a handful of huge stars.

Remember when a movie with Julia Roberts or Tom Hanks was the movie that everyone knew about, anticipated, went to see, talked about? Not any more.

This year, Hollywood saw a significant drop in revenue. And not because there were/are no good movies. There have been fantastic indie films, Hollywood big budget films, foreign films, online films. There are just too many.

The deluge of information and movies is like drinking from a firehose.

The noise and the volume show how desperate and how easily conditioned humans are. But what does it mean for us? I don’t know. But I’m sure it signals something.

What I do know is that it also present opportunities. One opportunity I see is for someone who can sell (or preach, whichever term you prefer) peace, contentment, real happiness (not brief thrills). An example might be Sam Harris’ new book, Waking Up, in which he talks about spirituality apart from religion and why we seek happiness (or at least, not-pain) and how to meditate.

In any event, we can no longer see the trees for the forest; drinking from a firehose is blinding.

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My Predictions for the Future

On October 10, 2013, I spoke at Ignite Salem. The text of my speech I posted the day after I spoke. Here is the video of my presentation. Ignite requires that slides advance automatically—which is fun!—but which also means the speech and the slides might get out of sync.

What do you think of the topic?
(Feedback on the delivery is welcome too, of course.)

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Here are some books you should read

I updated my “Books Read” list. Ones with an asterisk by them mean I was blown away. Ones with two asterisks mean I was floored and have not stopped talking about them. Check out the list and add some titles to your reading list. If you don’t read much, now is a great time to start. Just read 20-30 minutes a day.

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